A new role for pensions and the City
The pension funds in Britain are currently undergoing a significant overhaul, with the industry valued at £3tn catching the eye of the current chancellor. The main issues highlighted are fragmentation, timidity, and a focus on charges at the expense of other important factors. This presents an opportunity for the government to tap into this vast […]
Trump’s appointees will have an impact on UK stocks
After the recent election, my colleague James Norrington provided an update on the tactical asset allocations of the Alpha multi-asset portfolios, highlighting the use of “rules-based protective momentum” in the underlying model to eliminate human biases. However, in the aftermath of the election, behavioral finance aspects have come to the forefront. President-elect Donald Trump has […]
Bearbull Income Portfolio: The case for Plus500
Reflecting on the Bearbull Income Portfolio’s Performance As the year comes to a close, it’s time to look back on the performance of the Bearbull income portfolio. Over the past 12 months, the portfolio saw a modest growth of around 8.7 per cent, excluding income distributions. However, when factoring in the income distributions worth 4 […]
Markets aren’t expecting a ‘Maga’ revolution
The aftermath of the 2020 US presidential election has left the country divided like never before. With the election of Donald Trump seen as a break from the neoliberal globalist order that has defined the world for the past three decades, supporters of both parties are coming to terms with the new reality. For Trump-supporting […]
What to expect from Donald Trump’s second term
Donald Trump’s victory in the recent US election may not have been a huge shock, but the speed with which it was resolved was surprising. Markets initially rallied following the announcement, with the S&P 500 reaching a record high and the DXY index ticking up. While some may interpret this as a positive sign for […]
Trump’s re-election forces a rethink on energy investments
The 29th UN Climate Change Conference (COP29) is currently taking place in Baku, Azerbaijan, a country known for its strong reliance on carbon-driven energy. Despite Azerbaijan’s oil industry roots, the country has managed to achieve a high level of energy self-sufficiency, making it a unique location for a climate summit. With an estimated 40,000-50,000 delegates […]
How investable are UK supermarkets?
The recent Budget in the UK has sparked a debate on the definition of ‘working people’. The government’s manifesto pledges had left some ambiguity, and the Budget did little to clarify the situation. One of the key measures in the Budget was the freeze on fuel duty, which was presented as a benefit for “hard-working […]
Time to prepare for the return of inflation
The recent Budget announcement has raised concerns about potential inflationary pressures in the macro landscape. Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned that the policies introduced by Rachel Reeves could lead to an increase in inflation. Companies, especially those in service sectors heavily reliant on labor, are bracing themselves for the impact of a […]
Why Trump can’t bully the bond market
After the surprising victory of Donald Trump in the US Presidential election last week, many are trying to make sense of the outcome. While polls and prediction markets indicated a close race, the extent of Trump’s win, including capturing all swing states and winning the popular vote, caught many off guard. There has been much […]
Labour wants to rebuild Britain – but where are the builders?
Challenges in the Construction Industry Amid Calls for Rebuilding As the government calls for a nationwide rebuilding effort, the construction industry is facing significant challenges in meeting the demand for new infrastructure and homes. Subcontractors, who play a crucial role in the construction process, are particularly feeling the strain. One of the major issues plaguing […]