Trump’s re-election forces a rethink on energy investments
The 29th UN Climate Change Conference (COP29) is currently taking place in Baku, Azerbaijan, a country known for its strong reliance on carbon-driven energy. Despite Azerbaijan’s oil industry roots, the country has managed to achieve a high level of energy self-sufficiency, making it a unique location for a climate summit. With an estimated 40,000-50,000 delegates […]
How investable are UK supermarkets?
The recent Budget in the UK has sparked a debate on the definition of ‘working people’. The government’s manifesto pledges had left some ambiguity, and the Budget did little to clarify the situation. One of the key measures in the Budget was the freeze on fuel duty, which was presented as a benefit for “hard-working […]
Time to prepare for the return of inflation
The recent Budget announcement has raised concerns about potential inflationary pressures in the macro landscape. Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned that the policies introduced by Rachel Reeves could lead to an increase in inflation. Companies, especially those in service sectors heavily reliant on labor, are bracing themselves for the impact of a […]
Why Trump can’t bully the bond market
After the surprising victory of Donald Trump in the US Presidential election last week, many are trying to make sense of the outcome. While polls and prediction markets indicated a close race, the extent of Trump’s win, including capturing all swing states and winning the popular vote, caught many off guard. There has been much […]
Labour wants to rebuild Britain – but where are the builders?
Challenges in the Construction Industry Amid Calls for Rebuilding As the government calls for a nationwide rebuilding effort, the construction industry is facing significant challenges in meeting the demand for new infrastructure and homes. Subcontractors, who play a crucial role in the construction process, are particularly feeling the strain. One of the major issues plaguing […]
The verdict is in – and Labour won’t like it
Post-Budget Britain Faces Challenges Amid Trump’s Victory As the world reacts to Donald Trump’s unexpected return to the White House, attention must also be paid to the issues facing post-Budget Britain. Both Trump and Keir Starmer are tasked with addressing the concerns of disillusioned voters who are seeking improvements in living standards. Labour has outlined […]
Markets react to the Budget’s good, bad and ugly
The aftermath of the 2024 Autumn Budget did not result in a chaotic “mini” Budget meltdown, but it also did not meet the high expectations set by the chancellor. Rachel Reeves, in her first fiscal event, aimed to demonstrate her commitment to supporting UK economic institutions and achieving fiscal balance. Investors were reassured by news […]
Why contrarianism is a profitable strategy
In the world of investing, it is common for humans to create simple narratives to explain complex phenomena. However, relying on these narratives can be a risky strategy. Financial journalists often attribute price movements to neat causal relationships, such as the rise of populism leading to increased fiscal deficits and higher bond yields. While these […]
An opportunity as Novo Nordisk loses momentum
Novo Nordisk A/S (DK:NOVO.B) has faced a significant drop in its market value, losing a fifth of its worth since the end of June. This decline came after the Danish pharmaceutical company announced plans to invest around $4 billion in expanding its US manufacturing facilities to meet the growing demand for its obesity and diabetes […]
Why populism increases interest rates
The days leading up to an event are always filled with uncertainty and speculation. This has been evident in the recent fluctuations in the US election polls, which have had a significant impact on prediction markets, as well as bond and stock markets. Currently, the prevailing sentiment in the market is that Donald Trump will […]